Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.068061 0.079091 0.091164 0.105333 0.121484 0.139294 0.160394
2025-02-02 0.052949 0.067909 0.085759 0.108527 0.136680 0.170234 0.213120
2025-02-09 0.039591 0.055539 0.076106 0.104345 0.141842 0.189621 0.254757
2025-02-16 0.031254 0.047532 0.070036 0.103009 0.149591 0.212455 0.302983
2025-02-23 0.024714 0.040511 0.063791 0.099982 0.154037 0.230808 0.346824
2025-03-02 0.020016 0.035171 0.058860 0.097723 0.158755 0.249475 0.392543
2025-03-09 0.017069 0.031953 0.056488 0.098724 0.168072 0.275359 0.450964
2025-03-16 0.014019 0.027935 0.052102 0.095700 0.170414 0.290508 0.494132
2025-03-23 0.012735 0.026785 0.052305 0.100222 0.185365 0.326689 0.573471
2025-03-30 0.011128 0.024712 0.050517 0.100924 0.193745 0.352723 0.638396
2025-04-06 0.009424 0.022112 0.047325 0.098563 0.196305 0.368966 0.688051
2025-04-13 0.008082 0.019996 0.044714 0.096872 0.199744 0.386813 0.741694
2025-04-20 0.007552 0.019587 0.045531 0.102116 0.217019 0.431296 0.847099
2025-04-27 0.007012 0.019059 0.046025 0.106775 0.233686 0.476204 0.957196
2025-05-04 0.005926 0.017004 0.042898 0.103431 0.234027 0.490555 1.011969
2025-05-11 0.005170 0.015611 0.041022 0.102500 0.239137 0.514398 1.086564
2025-05-18 0.004412 0.014041 0.038472 0.099684 0.239888 0.529619 1.145559
2025-05-25 0.003803 0.012740 0.036348 0.097530 0.241765 0.547149 1.210372
2025-06-01 0.003432 0.012041 0.035618 0.098582 0.250846 0.580187 1.308936
2025-06-08 0.002934 0.010840 0.033377 0.095587 0.250294 0.592809 1.366284
2025-06-15 0.002793 0.010733 0.034068 0.100117 0.267870 0.645821 1.512401
2025-06-22 0.002525 0.010148 0.033333 0.100826 0.276323 0.679477 1.619544
2025-06-29 0.002191 0.009251 0.031547 0.098470 0.276975 0.695729 1.690033